Overpelt vs Lutlommel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Overpelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SIN
1 - 1
OVE
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
OOS
2 - 0
OVE
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
OVE
1 - 1
LYR
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
OVE
0 - 1
ESP
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
DUF
2 - 3
OVE
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lutlommel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
LUT
3 - 2
ESP
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
DUF
3 - 2
LUT
84%
11%
6%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LUT
0 - 2
LEO
22%
25%
53%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
LUT
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LUT
2 - 1
AVE
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |