Overpelt vs La Calamine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Overpelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ESP
0 - 2
OVE
50%
23%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
GEE
2 - 1
OVE
67%
20%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 1
OVE
26%
24%
51%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
OVE
0 - 0
LIL
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 2
OVE
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
La Calamine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
LAC
0 - 0
BRE
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 3
LAC
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
LAC
1 - 1
HEU
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
LAC
2 - 1
ESP
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
GEE
4 - 1
LAC
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |