Overpelt vs Bree analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Overpelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
PAT
4 - 0
OVE
60%
22%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
OVE
2 - 2
SIN
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LAC
1 - 0
OVE
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
OVE
2 - 0
ESP
49%
24%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LIL
0 - 1
OVE
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 2
BRE
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 2
PAT
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SIN
7 - 3
BRE
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 2
LAC
49%
23%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 0
BRE
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |