Ovalle vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
OVA
3 - 2
HUA
23%
22%
55%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
OVA
3 - 2
COL
15%
20%
65%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
OVA
1 - 1
CSL
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
OVA
0 - 0
DLS
23%
21%
56%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
OVA
3 - 1
COQ
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
COB
0 - 3
UCO
61%
21%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
HUA
0 - 1
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |