Ovalle vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
USF
2 - 0
OVA
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
OVA
1 - 1
DEP
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
DLI
1 - 1
OVA
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
OVA
1 - 1
DLS
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
CSD
1 - 2
OVA
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
UCO
3 - 2
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
1 - 2
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 1
NUB
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
MAG
3 - 2
UCO
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 2
ANT
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |