Outes B vs Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
45.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Outes B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
COR
7 - 1
OUT
56%
19%
26%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
OUT
2 - 3
CAS
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MUR
5 - 0
OUT
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OUT
1 - 3
SEA
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CAM
4 - 1
OUT
62%
18%
19%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
VOL
25%
22%
53%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
AME
2 - 1
POR
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
POR
6 - 2
NAN
65%
17%
18%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAB
2 - 1
POR
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
COR
64%
17%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |