CD Ourense vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
52.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1996 |
RCF
1 - 1
CDO
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
LEG
5 - 0
CDO
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1996 |
GRA
0 - 1
CDO
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1996 |
CDO
3 - 0
GRA
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1996 |
VAL
0 - 4
CDO
72%
17%
12%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
CPC
1 - 5
MER
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
MER
4 - 0
ALB
45%
25%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
MER
3 - 1
OVI
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
RMA
4 - 0
MER
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
MER
0 - 1
RAY
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |