CD Ourense vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
SEG
1 - 2
CDO
22%
30%
48%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
CDO
1 - 2
PON
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
FUE
0 - 0
CDO
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
CDO
1 - 0
SSR
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
PPJ
0 - 1
CDO
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
2 - 0
AVI
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
CUL
0 - 2
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 1
MST
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
ROB
0 - 1
LUG
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
CAU
54%
25%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |