UD Ourense vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
RCV
3 - 1
UDO
41%
25%
35%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
UDO
2 - 0
SIL
54%
23%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
ASP
0 - 1
UDO
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
UDO
2 - 0
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
UDO
3 - 2
SOM
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ARZ
3 - 2
POL
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
BOU
4 - 1
ARZ
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
ARZ
2 - 0
DEP
20%
24%
56%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +3 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BER
1 - 2
ARZ
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ARZ
1 - 2
BAR
22%
23%
56%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |