UD Ourense vs AD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
7.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 2
UDO
32%
21%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UDO
6 - 0
COL
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RIB
2 - 2
UDO
24%
20%
56%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UDO
7 - 0
PON
80%
12%
8%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
UDO
6 - 0
CAL
84%
10%
6%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
COV
4 - 1
AMO
26%
21%
53%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 2
COV
32%
22%
45%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COV
1 - 1
TRI
61%
18%
21%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 2
COV
72%
16%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
COV
4 - 3
LOÑ
29%
22%
49%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |