Oulun Luistinseura vs JS Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
9º
1º
19
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oulun Luistinseura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 4
OLS
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
OLS
5 - 2
ROP
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
OLS
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
OLS
1 - 1
TP4
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
AKA
3 - 0
OLS
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
JBK
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 2
HER
49%
21%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
GBK
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HER
2 - 0
NAR
34%
23%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ROP
1 - 0
HER
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |