Ougrée vs Royal Aubel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ougrée
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MAL
3 - 2
OUG
26%
22%
53%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
OUG
2 - 1
SFR
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
WEY
2 - 2
OUG
44%
23%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
OUG
0 - 5
LAC
59%
19%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
STA
1 - 1
OUG
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Royal Aubel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
RAU
1 - 2
ESP
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 0
RAU
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MAL
3 - 2
RAU
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RAU
3 - 3
SFR
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
WEY
2 - 1
RAU
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |