Ottawa South United vs Saint-Laurent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
79.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+494%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
10º
11º
53
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 28 |
7º
|
98% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ottawa South United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LAV
3 - 1
OTT
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OTT
1 - 2
MON
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 1
OTT
66%
17%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
OTT
0 - 0
HUB
12%
16%
72%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OTT
2 - 1
LAV
12%
17%
71%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Saint-Laurent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
4 - 3
ASB
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
2 - 0
MRO
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LAV
2 - 0
SLA
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SLA
2 - 0
MON
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 3
SLA
9%
14%
78%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |