OTP vs VPS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
65.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
PUC
0 - 0
OTP
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
KKP
0 - 6
OTP
15%
17%
68%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
OTP
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
OTP
2 - 3
JPS
35%
21%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OPS
5 - 0
OTP
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
VPS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
VPS
7 - 0
NAR
49%
22%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
KER
3 - 8
VPS
80%
13%
8%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 4
VPS
26%
20%
54%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VPS
6 - 0
FCK
82%
11%
7%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VPS
5 - 0
KFF
73%
14%
13%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |