Ostrovets vs Bumprom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
11º
11º
48
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostrovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ABF
1 - 3
OFC
12%
17%
71%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
OFC
3 - 2
FCS
79%
13%
8%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
DMM
4 - 3
OFC
6%
11%
83%
|
55 | 11 | 44 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ORS
1 - 1
OFC
24%
22%
54%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OFC
0 - 2
LID
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bumprom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FBG
2 - 1
MOL
33%
23%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
FTM
0 - 2
FBG
11%
15%
74%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
FBG
37%
23%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FBG
0 - 1
MKK
19%
21%
59%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 3
FBG
54%
22%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |