Österlen vs IFK Berga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
47.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
13º
12º
31
8º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Österlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
OST
1 - 1
NOS
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
IFK
0 - 2
OST
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
OST
0 - 2
ROS
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VMA
3 - 3
OST
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
OST
1 - 3
RAP
45%
23%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
IFK Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
BER
3 - 0
OSK
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BER
4 - 1
SIM
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
NOS
2 - 0
BER
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
KRI
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
IFK
2 - 1
BER
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |