Ostbahn XI vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
80.5%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
4%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
12.1%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
7%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1946 |
SWW
7 - 0
OST
92%
6%
3%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1946 |
OST
0 - 3
ROW
50%
20%
30%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
AWM
4 - 0
OST
88%
8%
4%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
OST
0 - 8
WIE
29%
23%
48%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
FAC
4 - 0
OST
93%
5%
2%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1946 |
VIE
13 - 3
FAC
71%
15%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1946 |
VIE
1 - 2
FAC
70%
15%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1946 |
AUS
2 - 3
VIE
56%
19%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
VIE
3 - 1
FCW
72%
14%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1946 |
VIE
3 - 0
SCF
95%
4%
2%
|
81 | 34 | 47 | 0 |