Ostbahn XI vs Donaufeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
54.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SCW
4 - 0
OST
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
AUS
1 - 0
OST
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
OST
3 - 3
DON
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ASV
2 - 1
OST
20%
20%
61%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
OST
2 - 1
MAN
35%
24%
41%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
DON
0 - 2
TEA
57%
21%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
DON
4 - 2
ELE
58%
19%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
OST
3 - 3
DON
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
DON
1 - 2
TEA
54%
22%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
FAV
3 - 1
DON
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |