OSS '20 vs GOES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 1
OSS
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
OSS
2 - 0
HBS
73%
16%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ADO
2 - 2
OSS
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
OSS
3 - 0
JVC
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
OSS
4 - 5
QUI
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GOE
2 - 3
UNA
33%
24%
44%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
HSC
1 - 3
GOE
39%
23%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GOE
1 - 3
TIE
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BLA
4 - 0
GOE
26%
22%
52%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
OJC
0 - 3
GOE
23%
22%
56%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |