OSS '20 vs Baronie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UDI
0 - 3
OSS
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
OSS
5 - 2
TOP
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
OSS
0 - 0
GRO
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
3 - 1
OSS
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
OSS
3 - 0
DON
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
VLI
32%
25%
44%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 3
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
GES
41%
22%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 1
BAR
39%
24%
38%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
GRO
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |