1. HNL Round 21

NK Osijek vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis

NK Osijek HNK Hajduk Split
83 ELO 84
-17.6% Tilt 11.8%
331º General ELO ranking 279º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35.7%
NK Osijek
27.2%
Draw
37.1%
HNK Hajduk Split

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
NK Osijek
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.1%
Win probability
HNK Hajduk Split
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NK Osijek
-7%
-4%
HNK Hajduk Split

Points and table prediction

NK Osijek
Their league position
HNK Hajduk Split
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
68
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dinamo Zagreb
82
82
100%
HNK Rijeka
74
74
100%
HNK Hajduk Split
68
68
100%
NK Osijek
57
57
100%
Lokomotiva
51
51
100%
NK Varazdin
42
42
100%
HNK Gorica
41
41
100%
NK Istra 1961
41
41
100%
NK Slaven Belupo
33
33
100%
NK Rudes
10º
9
9
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NK Osijek
NK Osijek
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2024
OSI
NK Osijek
2 - 0
NK Rudes
RUD
74%
19%
7%
82 59 23 0
20 Jan. 2024
OSI
NK Osijek
2 - 0
Fehérvár
FHV
49%
26%
25%
82 77 5 0
20 Jan. 2024
OSI
NK Osijek
0 - 0
Makedonija GP
MAK
74%
18%
8%
82 59 23 0
16 Jan. 2024
OSI
NK Osijek
0 - 1
Celje
CEL
54%
24%
22%
82 76 6 0
13 Jan. 2024
FCK
FC Koper
0 - 2
NK Osijek
OSI
30%
24%
47%
82 75 7 0

Matches

HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2024
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
1 - 2
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
48%
24%
28%
84 83 1 0
20 Jan. 2024
SLA
Śląsk Wrocław
1 - 3
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
31%
26%
43%
84 78 6 0
17 Jan. 2024
FCK
FC Koper
1 - 1
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
27%
25%
48%
84 75 9 0
12 Jan. 2024
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
5 - 2
Fehérvár
FHV
63%
21%
16%
84 77 7 0
09 Jan. 2024
ALU
Aluminij
0 - 3
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
16%
22%
62%
84 64 20 0