Os Limianos vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
10º
1º
34
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Limianos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 3
OSL
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
OSL
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OSL
1 - 2
CAM
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VPE
3 - 3
OSL
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FEL
4 - 0
OSL
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
TIR
41%
24%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
PEV
34%
27%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 0
MON
24%
22%
55%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
PEV
27%
26%
48%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
POR
54%
21%
26%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |