Serie D . Jor. 13

Orvietana Calcio vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis

Orvietana Calcio Follonica Gavorrano
26 ELO 36
-8.7% Tilt -17.7%
7649º General ELO ranking 4841º
252º Country ELO ranking 131º
ELO win probability
31%
Orvietana Calcio
25.4%
Draw
43.7%
Follonica Gavorrano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
Orvietana Calcio
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.7%
Win probability
Follonica Gavorrano
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Orvietana Calcio
+98%
+3%
Follonica Gavorrano

ELO progression

Orvietana Calcio
Follonica Gavorrano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Orvietana Calcio
Orvietana Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2009
SGP
Sangimignanosport
0 - 1
Orvietana Calcio
ORV
52%
24%
24%
26 26 0 0
15 Nov. 2009
ORV
Orvietana Calcio
1 - 1
Città di Castello
SSD
40%
25%
35%
26 28 2 0
08 Nov. 2009
FOR
Fortis Juventus
0 - 1
Orvietana Calcio
ORV
53%
24%
22%
25 28 3 +1
01 Nov. 2009
ORV
Orvietana Calcio
1 - 2
Deruta
DER
33%
26%
41%
26 34 8 -1
25 Oct. 2009
ASS
AS Sestese
1 - 2
Orvietana Calcio
ORV
54%
24%
22%
25 27 2 +1

Matches

Follonica Gavorrano
Follonica Gavorrano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2009
GAV
Follonica Gavorrano
0 - 2
ACD Guidonia
ACD
64%
20%
16%
37 27 10 0
15 Nov. 2009
CAS
Castel Rigone
0 - 1
Follonica Gavorrano
GAV
43%
25%
33%
36 33 3 +1
08 Nov. 2009
GAV
Follonica Gavorrano
3 - 1
Sangimignanosport
SGP
65%
20%
15%
35 26 9 +1
01 Nov. 2009
GAV
Follonica Gavorrano
0 - 0
Città di Castello
SSD
64%
20%
16%
36 27 9 -1
25 Oct. 2009
FOR
Fortis Juventus
1 - 0
Follonica Gavorrano
GAV
27%
25%
49%
37 26 11 -1
X