Orotava vs Guargacho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orotava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 3
UDO
73%
17%
10%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
UDO
0 - 2
UDI
45%
25%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
UDO
0 - 4
ANG
44%
22%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
UDG
2 - 1
UDO
47%
25%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
JLA
2 - 1
UDO
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guargacho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
UDI
9%
15%
76%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UDG
8 - 0
GUA
87%
9%
4%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
ANG
8%
14%
78%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
JLA
4 - 2
GUA
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
5 - 6
AGU
12%
18%
70%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |