Orotava vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+124%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orotava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
TEL
1 - 0
UDO
32%
27%
41%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
UDO
4 - 1
GUI
85%
11%
5%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
MAS
1 - 3
UDO
60%
22%
18%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
UDO
5 - 1
UDI
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
UDI
2 - 3
UDO
23%
28%
49%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
EST
1 - 1
COR
14%
23%
63%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
CDT
1 - 1
EST
25%
29%
46%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
EST
1 - 0
VEC
47%
26%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
LPA
0 - 0
EST
63%
22%
16%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
EST
3 - 2
SDT
38%
29%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |