Orotava vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orotava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
LAN
1 - 0
UDO
73%
18%
9%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
UDO
2 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
TEL
2 - 1
UDO
74%
18%
9%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
GUI
1 - 0
UDO
64%
22%
15%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
UDO
2 - 1
GAL
49%
26%
25%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
EST
1 - 1
RAF
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
SDT
4 - 0
EST
68%
20%
12%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
EST
2 - 0
UDS
70%
19%
11%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
EST
0 - 1
TEA
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
TCF
2 - 1
EST
60%
23%
16%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |