Aral Nukus vs Surkhon Termez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2009 |
ORO
2 - 2
MAS
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NAS
1 - 3
ORO
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
GHA
5 - 1
ORO
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
ORO
3 - 2
BUN
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ORO
2 - 0
RFS
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2009 |
TER
2 - 0
NAS
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TER
2 - 1
GHA
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BUN
2 - 0
TER
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
RFS
2 - 1
TER
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
TER
2 - 0
SHA
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |