Aral Nukus vs Shurtan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
73%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
6º
23
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
GIJ
1 - 0
ORO
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ORO
4 - 1
DOS
9%
14%
78%
|
29 | 69 | 40 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DSA
2 - 0
ORO
84%
12%
4%
|
29 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
ORO
1 - 1
XOR
8%
15%
78%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
FKL
1 - 0
ORO
80%
15%
6%
|
29 | 66 | 37 | -1 |
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
FKT
5 - 2
SHO
45%
23%
32%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
SHO
1 - 2
FKL
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 2
SHO
9%
18%
74%
|
57 | 21 | 36 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
SHO
1 - 0
PFK
88%
9%
3%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
URF
2 - 1
SHO
8%
17%
75%
|
57 | 18 | 39 | 0 |