Aral Nukus vs Navbahor-Farm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
6º
18
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 0
QOQ
12%
20%
69%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 0
URF
89%
7%
4%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ORO
2 - 0
PAK
9%
16%
75%
|
31 | 69 | 38 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 0
ORO
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 2
ORO
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Navbahor-Farm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FKL
1 - 0
PFK
79%
15%
6%
|
22 | 67 | 45 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
PFK
1 - 0
FKA
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
URF
2 - 1
PFK
28%
22%
51%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
PFK
2 - 2
MAS
8%
17%
75%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
SHO
1 - 0
PFK
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | 0 |