Aral Nukus vs Norin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
XOR
4 - 1
ORO
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
ORO
5 - 3
XOR
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
NAR
2 - 1
ORO
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
UDJ
6 - 4
ORO
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
ORO
1 - 3
SEM
21%
27%
53%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Norin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
NAR
3 - 0
PAK
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
NAR
2 - 1
NBU
43%
25%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
PAK
1 - 2
NAR
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SEM
2 - 0
NAR
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2016 |
NBU
2 - 3
NAR
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |