Aral Nukus vs Jayxun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+407%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
3º
2º
12
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 32 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 29 |
2º
|
76.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 7 |
6º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
89% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
ORO
3 - 1
XOR
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
BUX
3 - 2
ORO
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
ORO
2 - 1
SHO
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
FKO
1 - 0
ORO
18%
20%
62%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
QOQ
2 - 1
ORO
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Jayxun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BUN
7 - 0
FKJ
90%
8%
2%
|
10 | 61 | 51 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SHO
2 - 1
FKJ
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 53 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 2
FCQ
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
FKJ
1 - 2
FKO
44%
24%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SEM
0 - 1
FKJ
85%
11%
5%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | +1 |