Norwegian Fourth Division Round 5

Ørn Horten vs Tollnes BK analysis

Ørn Horten Tollnes BK
39 ELO 25
14.8% Tilt 20.8%
5552º General ELO ranking 30538º
76º Country ELO ranking 272º
ELO win probability
80.2%
Ørn Horten
12.2%
Draw
7.6%
Tollnes BK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
Ørn Horten
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.5%
Win probability
Tollnes BK
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Ørn Horten
Tollnes BK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ørn Horten
Ørn Horten
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2013
LAR
Larvik Turn
1 - 0
Ørn Horten
ORN
74%
16%
10%
39 56 17 0
29 Apr. 2013
ORN
Ørn Horten
2 - 1
Pors Grenland II
PGE
71%
16%
13%
39 30 9 0
22 Apr. 2013
ORN
Ørn Horten
7 - 1
Notodden II
NFK
76%
14%
10%
38 27 11 +1
17 Apr. 2013
ORN
Ørn Horten
0 - 5
Stabæk
STB
12%
18%
71%
38 66 28 0
11 Apr. 2013
FKT
FK Tønsberg II
2 - 3
Ørn Horten
ORN
17%
19%
64%
38 24 14 0

Matches

Tollnes BK
Tollnes BK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2013
TOL
Tollnes BK
1 - 3
FK Tønsberg II
FKT
59%
20%
20%
26 24 2 0
26 Apr. 2013
IFL
Flint
3 - 3
Tollnes BK
TOL
43%
22%
35%
26 23 3 0
23 Apr. 2013
TOL
Tollnes BK
3 - 6
Sandefjord II
SFO
35%
23%
42%
27 33 6 -1
12 Apr. 2013
SSK
Solberg SK
0 - 4
Tollnes BK
TOL
14%
19%
68%
27 14 13 0
22 Oct. 2012
TOL
Tollnes BK
2 - 2
Eik Tønsberg
ETO
36%
22%
43%
29 31 2 -2