Norwegian Fourth Division Round 23

Ørn Horten vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis

Ørn Horten Sarpsborg 08 II
46 ELO 42
7.5% Tilt 12.1%
5246º General ELO ranking 6850º
77º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
44%
Ørn Horten
22.6%
Draw
33.4%
Sarpsborg 08 II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
Ørn Horten
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.4%
Win probability
Sarpsborg 08 II
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ørn Horten
-43%
+109%
Sarpsborg 08 II

ELO progression

Ørn Horten
Sarpsborg 08 II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ørn Horten
Ørn Horten
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2017
ODS
Odd III
1 - 3
Ørn Horten
ORN
9%
15%
76%
45 19 26 0
18 Sep. 2017
ORN
Ørn Horten
3 - 0
Strømsgodset II
STR
41%
22%
37%
44 41 3 +1
09 Sep. 2017
HOL
Holmen
0 - 3
Ørn Horten
ORN
12%
18%
70%
43 24 19 +1
02 Sep. 2017
ORN
Ørn Horten
2 - 2
Moss
MOS
20%
21%
60%
43 52 9 0
26 Aug. 2017
OPP
Oppsal
1 - 1
Ørn Horten
ORN
47%
23%
30%
43 43 0 0

Matches

Sarpsborg 08 II
Sarpsborg 08 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2017
SAR
Sarpsborg 08 II
3 - 2
Sprint-Jeløy
SJE
78%
13%
9%
44 30 14 0
18 Sep. 2017
OST
Østsiden
2 - 6
Sarpsborg 08 II
SAR
39%
23%
38%
42 41 1 +2
11 Sep. 2017
SAR
Sarpsborg 08 II
1 - 1
Kråkerøy
KRA
33%
24%
44%
41 48 7 +1
04 Sep. 2017
SAR
Sarpsborg 08 II
8 - 1
Odd III
ODS
86%
10%
5%
41 21 20 0
28 Aug. 2017
STR
Strømsgodset II
1 - 1
Sarpsborg 08 II
SAR
53%
21%
26%
41 44 3 0