Ørn Horten vs Notodden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
14º
7º
36
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
AAL
0 - 5
ORN
45%
23%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ORN
2 - 3
TRA
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ORN
0 - 0
LYN
18%
21%
62%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
ORN
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ORN
1 - 3
FKA
24%
21%
54%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 0
FKA
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EGE
1 - 1
NOT
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 1
KJE
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 1
NOT
21%
21%
59%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |