Ørn Horten vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DRO
0 - 4
ORN
90%
7%
3%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
ORN
1 - 2
KVI
17%
21%
63%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
0 - 0
ORN
64%
18%
19%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
STR
2 - 1
ORN
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ORN
1 - 3
POR
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
VID
4 - 1
HON
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
HON
2 - 2
NOT
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 2
HON
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ULL
2 - 0
HON
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
HON
1 - 5
FRA
54%
22%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |