Orizaba vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
ZAC
1 - 1
ORI
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ORI
1 - 0
JAG
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
UDG
2 - 3
ORI
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ORI
1 - 1
CAÑ
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ALT
1 - 0
ORI
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 0
COB
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
MEX
1 - 2
TOR
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
TOR
2 - 2
MER
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 1
TRO
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ZAC
1 - 3
TOR
23%
23%
54%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |