Orillamar SD vs Atlético dos Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orillamar SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
COR
1 - 5
ORI
28%
23%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
OZA
1 - 2
ORI
49%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 2
ORI
31%
23%
45%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 2
CUL
79%
13%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
REL
3 - 3
ORI
25%
23%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 1
JUV
49%
21%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
COR
1 - 2
CAS
52%
22%
27%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
OZA
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 2
CAS
41%
23%
37%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAR
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |