Oriku vs Tërbuni Pukë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
14º
11º
24
3º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
ORI
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 1
BES
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 1
ORI
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 1
KOR
33%
29%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 0
ORI
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tërbuni Pukë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
TER
1 - 0
DIN
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TER
1 - 1
LUZ
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
0 - 1
TER
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TER
0 - 1
BES
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
3 - 0
TER
26%
27%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -2 |