Orihuela CF vs FC Jove Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
16º
1º
29
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
59% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 23.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ACE
3 - 1
ORI
38%
26%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
ORI
3 - 0
HER
19%
25%
56%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ATZ
0 - 0
ORI
52%
26%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 2
ALC
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 3
INT
19%
25%
57%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FC Jove Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
JOV
1 - 0
HER
41%
28%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
JOV
0 - 2
CAS
37%
27%
37%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
REC
2 - 0
JOV
25%
28%
47%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -3 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
JOV
2 - 1
HER
54%
26%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
ACE
1 - 0
JOV
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |