Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RPO
3 - 1
OPE
49%
24%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
OPE
3 - 2
LAP
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
STR
1 - 2
OPE
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 1
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
JWI
1 - 2
OPE
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PET
3 - 1
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
AUR
5 - 0
RPO
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LAP
0 - 1
AUR
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 0
RPO
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BLO
3 - 2
AUR
56%
23%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |