National Third Division Round 12

Orfeas Xanthi vs Kavala analysis

Orfeas Xanthi Kavala
31 ELO 45
-12.4% Tilt -14.1%
37383º General ELO ranking 3727º
326º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
16.2%
Orfeas Xanthi
21.1%
Draw
62.7%
Kavala

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
Orfeas Xanthi
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.7%
Win probability
Kavala
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Orfeas Xanthi
Their league position
Kavala
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
12º
12º
52
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kampaniakos Chalastra
58
59
100%
Kavala
52
55
100%
Poseidon Nea Michaniona
50
53
100%
Doxa Dramas
46
49
100%
Apollon Paralimniou
47
47
59.5%
Panthrakikos
46
47
59.5%
Nestos Chrisoupolis
40
41
100%
Aris Avato
41
41
100%
Thermaikos Thermis
39
40
100%
Pandramaikos
10º
37
37
10º
100%
Byron Kavala
11º
31
32
11º
65.5%
Orfeas Xanthi
12º
30
30
12º
40.5%
Agrotikos Asteras
13º
29
30
13º
40.5%
Antheias-Aristinou
14º
12
13
14º
100%
Alexandroupolis FC
15º
3
4
15º
100%
Expected probabilities
Orfeas Xanthi
Kavala
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Orfeas Xanthi
Kavala
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Orfeas Xanthi
Orfeas Xanthi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2023
PNM
Poseidon Nea Michaniona
2 - 1
Orfeas Xanthi
OPX
67%
18%
14%
30 39 9 0
14 Jan. 2023
OPX
Orfeas Xanthi
2 - 1
Pandramaikos
PAN
17%
21%
62%
28 42 14 +2
07 Jan. 2023
APP
Apollon Paralimniou
5 - 1
Orfeas Xanthi
OPX
75%
16%
9%
28 43 15 0
21 Dec. 2022
BYK
Byron Kavala
1 - 1
Orfeas Xanthi
OPX
33%
23%
44%
28 23 5 0
17 Dec. 2022
OPX
Orfeas Xanthi
2 - 1
Antheias-Aristinou
EAA
57%
21%
22%
28 24 4 0

Matches

Kavala
Kavala
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2023
AOK
Kavala
3 - 0
Byron Kavala
BYK
86%
10%
5%
45 24 21 0
14 Jan. 2023
EAA
Antheias-Aristinou
0 - 2
Kavala
AOK
9%
16%
75%
44 23 21 +1
08 Jan. 2023
AOK
Kavala
4 - 2
Agrotikos Asteras
AGR
55%
25%
21%
43 41 2 +1
21 Dec. 2022
KAM
Kampaniakos Chalastra
0 - 0
Kavala
AOK
29%
23%
48%
43 35 8 0
17 Dec. 2022
AOK
Kavala
2 - 0
Thermaikos Thermis
THT
60%
22%
18%
42 37 5 +1