Orfeas Xanthi vs Byron Kavala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
12º
12º
31
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 4 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orfeas Xanthi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
EAA
1 - 2
OPX
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
AGR
1 - 0
OPX
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
OPX
2 - 0
KAM
25%
24%
52%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
THT
3 - 1
OPX
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
OPX
2 - 2
PFC
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Byron Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BYK
2 - 0
APP
18%
21%
61%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
EAA
2 - 1
BYK
27%
22%
50%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BYK
4 - 0
AGR
26%
23%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KAM
1 - 1
BYK
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BYK
1 - 0
THT
25%
22%
53%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |