Orellana Costa Dulce vs Monesterio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
69.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana Costa Dulce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
EMD
2 - 0
ORE
88%
9%
3%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ORE
1 - 3
GIM
36%
24%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CPR
2 - 0
ORE
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ORE
2 - 0
VIL
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +3 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SPH
2 - 0
ORE
80%
13%
7%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Monesterio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MON
1 - 2
SPH
48%
24%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UCL
3 - 1
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MON
0 - 0
CAM
51%
23%
27%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
OLY
1 - 1
MON
36%
23%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CDT
0 - 1
MON
36%
23%
42%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |