Orellana Costa Dulce vs San Bartolome analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
76.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana Costa Dulce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 0
OCD
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
OCD
3 - 4
ZUR
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
SIR
2 - 1
OCD
58%
20%
22%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
OCD
0 - 3
FMO
10%
17%
74%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SPH
4 - 1
OCD
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Bartolome
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SBA
0 - 1
VAL
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 6
SBA
13%
19%
68%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SBA
2 - 1
SMA
75%
14%
11%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SBA
2 - 1
CDT
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SBA
14%
18%
69%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |