2. Division B Centro round 20

FK Orel vs Arsenal Tula II analysis

FK Orel Arsenal Tula II
35 ELO 38
-12.2% Tilt -8.5%
7789º General ELO ranking 7621º
107º Country ELO ranking 106º
ELO win probability
43.4%
FK Orel
24.9%
Draw
31.7%
Arsenal Tula II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
FK Orel
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.7%
Win probability
Arsenal Tula II
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FK Orel
+6%
-49%
Arsenal Tula II

ELO progression

FK Orel
Arsenal Tula II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FK Orel
FK Orel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2017
CHE
Chertanovo
3 - 0
FK Orel
ORE
77%
15%
8%
35 47 12 0
30 Apr. 2017
ORE
FK Orel
0 - 3
Torpedo Moscow
TOR
10%
23%
68%
37 69 32 -2
29 Apr. 2017
ORE
FK Orel
0 - 3
Vityaz Podolsk
VIT
15%
21%
64%
39 51 12 -2
26 Apr. 2017
ZVE
FK Ryazan
3 - 0
FK Orel
ORE
69%
20%
11%
39 53 14 0
12 Apr. 2017
MET
Metallurg Lipetsk
3 - 0
FK Orel
ORE
71%
18%
11%
40 50 10 -1

Matches

Arsenal Tula II
Arsenal Tula II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2017
ZEN
Zenit Penza
1 - 0
Arsenal Tula II
ARS
55%
25%
20%
37 47 10 0
29 Apr. 2017
TOR
Torpedo Moscow
3 - 0
Arsenal Tula II
ARS
80%
16%
5%
37 69 32 0
23 Apr. 2017
ARS
Arsenal Tula II
2 - 0
Kaluga
KAL
19%
26%
55%
31 51 20 +6
16 Apr. 2017
ARS
Arsenal Tula II
1 - 4
FK Ryazan
ZVE
17%
26%
57%
32 53 21 -1
03 Mar. 2017
ORE
Orenburg II
2 - 1
Arsenal Tula II
ARS
36%
22%
42%
33 28 5 -1