Orcera CF vs Vilches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orcera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
QUE
3 - 1
ORC
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ORC
3 - 1
LIN
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 2
ORC
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ORC
3 - 1
VIL
16%
22%
63%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | +4 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
BET
8 - 1
ORC
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 1
LIN
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 0
VIL
23%
26%
51%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
3 - 2
VIL
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BET
2 - 2
VIL
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 1
PJI
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |