Orcasitas vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
37.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orcasitas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
MST
3 - 0
ORC
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PNT
3 - 1
ORC
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ORC
3 - 1
PBO
49%
27%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
RMC
1 - 1
ORC
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ORC
1 - 0
STA
32%
28%
40%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
SFN
2 - 0
NAV
27%
27%
46%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
MST
5 - 0
SFN
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SFN
3 - 1
PNT
23%
25%
52%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +3 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
PBO
2 - 1
SFN
42%
27%
31%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SFN
2 - 1
RMC
30%
26%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |