Oratorio vs Independente AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
YAP
1 - 2
ORC
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ORC
2 - 0
CRI
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +4 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
ORC
1 - 3
ECS
6%
13%
81%
|
26 | 68 | 42 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
TDC
2 - 1
ORC
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
ORC
0 - 1
TDC
24%
21%
56%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
IAP
2 - 0
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
IAP
3 - 1
SEC
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
IAP
2 - 3
ORC
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ORC
0 - 0
IAP
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
IAP
2 - 2
ORC
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |