Orange County SC vs Reno 1868 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ORA
4 - 0
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
REN
3 - 1
ORA
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ORA
2 - 1
SEA
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
LVG
3 - 5
ORA
23%
26%
52%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
ORA
5 - 2
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Reno 1868
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
REN
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
REN
3 - 1
ORA
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ARI
0 - 0
REN
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
POR
0 - 2
REN
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
REN
2 - 0
TUL
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |