Optik Rathenow vs Dynamo Schwerin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
17.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
14º
12º
25
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 76 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 72 |
2º
|
88% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 57 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 47 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 38 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
14º
|
93% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 23 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 9 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Optik Rathenow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
OPT
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
OPT
1 - 1
LIC
10%
17%
74%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ANK
0 - 3
OPT
55%
21%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OPT
1 - 1
SVS
38%
21%
41%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
3 - 1
OPT
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Schwerin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RSV
3 - 0
DSC
58%
20%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
DSC
3 - 1
UNI
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LIC
2 - 0
DSC
80%
12%
7%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
DSC
4 - 2
ANK
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 3
SVS
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |